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Subject: Re: Is there a rating inflation?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 21:50:25 05/31/02

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On May 31, 2002 at 07:16:45, Chris Carson wrote:

>Dann,
>
>If you believe that ratings inflation exists, then do the stats/research and
>present a proof.  It may exist and there is plenty of data to look at.  If you
>can show this, it would prove your point.   You should be able to establish
>averages for today, 5 years back, 10 years back, 20 years back.  Show N
>population, break out #GM's, #IM's, ...  Show the std deviation.  If there is
>inflation, you can show it to be significant and establish a 95% confidence
>level.  You can show the rate of inflaciton over time, factors that influence
>the inflation (based on data not opinion) and make recommendations for
>correcting this.  It would be impressive.  The records are there, you may have
>to dig them out, but I "know" the data is there.  Spend some time, and then
>please present your findings, I would really like to see what you find and what
>you have to say after you discover it.


There is _no_ way to prove it.  Because the "old pool" is gone and can't be
compared to the "new pool" to see if players from the "old pool" get a higher
or lower rating when they jump into the "new pool".




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