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Subject: Re: Is there a rating inflation?

Author: Ricardo Gibert

Date: 20:10:23 06/01/02

Go up one level in this thread


On June 01, 2002 at 12:31:22, Chris Carson wrote:

>The Rating of Chessplayers, Past and Present
>by Arpad E. Elo, 1978
>
>http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0668047216/qid=1022948840/sr=1-1/ref=sr_1_1/103-2617820-3864631
>
>
>Here is an overview of what is in ELO's book:
>
>"This work was written in 1978 by the Old Man himself, Arpad Elo. Chess players
>remember Elo as the cantankerous professor of physics from Marquette University,
>and as the inventor of the rating systems used by the United States Chess
>Federation (USCF) and the International Chess Federation (FIDE). Who better to
>explain the mathematics behind the rating system which, according to a letter
>Elo wrote to Chess Life several years ago, "is, after all, MY system". The
>explanations are semi-technical, but understandable by anybody with a
>mathematical inclination, regardless of their education in that field. There is
>even a chapter in which ratings are calculated retroactively, for grandmasters
>of bygone days. The book was written B.K. (before Kasparov), so of course Bobby
>Fischer comes out on top, with a rating of about 2780. His closest competitors
>are Lasker, Capablanca, and Botvinnik, each of whom peaked at about 2720. The
>average rating of tournament players in the U.S., by the way, is about 1500,
>several classes below the stars. Interesting reading."
>
>If you will note, Elo himself compared Fisher with Lasker, Capablanca, and
>Botvinnik.

This is well known about Elo's work. What is also well known is it was and is
faulty. In other words, his comparisons between different time periods does not
have a sound statistical foundation, so quoting "Elo" does not help you make
your case.



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