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Subject: Re: Crafty 18.15 Vs Nimzo 8, both with Nimzo 8 CTG

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 17:50:49 06/10/02

Go up one level in this thread


It will take several hundred games to get a good feel for the relative strength
of two programs.

If the strength is highly similar, then thousands of games if you only play them
against each other.

Consider this brief match:

    Program              Elo    +   -   Games   Score   Av.Op.  Draws
  1 Chop1088           : 2458   44  35   231    52.2 %   2442   29.0 %
  2 KnightDreamer v3.0 : 2442   35  44   231    47.8 %   2458   29.0 %

Individual statistics:

(1) Chop1088                  : 231 (+ 87,= 67,- 77), 52.2 %
KnightDreamer v3.0            : 231 (+ 87,= 67,- 77), 52.2 %

(2) KnightDreamer v3.0        : 231 (+ 77,= 67,- 87), 47.8 %
Chop1088                      : 231 (+ 77,= 67,- 87), 47.8 %

With 231 games played, the ELO estimate differs by 16 points, but the error bar
is far greater than that.  While it is more likely that Lambchop is stronger
than KnightDreamer, we cannot offer proof of this assertion from the data.

And supposing that we had so many games played that the error bars were smaller
than the ELO difference...

Then what would have been demonstrated is:

1.  Under the Winboard interface version 4.2.5 using switch /mg
2.  On a 950 MHz AMD Athlon with 512 megs ram
3.  At game in ten minutes time control
4.  With the following custom book for KnightDreamer:
06/07/2002  03:39p           1,018,540 KD3_book.bin
and the following Winboard initialization string:
"KnightD3" /fd="e:\programme\winboard\KnightD3"

5.  With the following standard books for LambChop:
02/13/2000  05:03p           1,048,576 CHOPBIGB.BIN
02/12/2001  10:40p              98,304 CHOPBOOK.BIN
and the following Winboard initialization string:
"Chop1088 -xboard -hash 40" /fd="e:\programme\winboard\LambChop"

Then Lambchop appears to be stronger.



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