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Subject: Re: What is the best program for predicting y based on x1,x2,x3,...?

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 15:57:18 06/30/02

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On June 30, 2002 at 18:14:13, Dieter Buerssner wrote:

>On June 30, 2002 at 12:51:20, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>I believe that a good program for this task can help me to improve my
>>chess program.
>>
>>Note that the formula does not have to be linear.
>>
>>The test for the quality of the prediction is E((y-y')^2) when y' is the
>>prediction for y based on the varaibles x1,x2,x3,x4,x5
>>
>>A good program for this task may get a file of integers and give me an estimate
>>for the 6n's integer in the file based on the previous 5 integers.
>>
>>It is better if the program gives me not only the prediction but also an
>>estimate for the distribution of the error.
>
>I am not sure, if I understand your question. Do you have a guess, for a
>function y(x1,...xn)? And with this function, you want to minimize E and have a
>prediction for the xi? If yes, and if you want to go through the possible
>trouble to install some DOS program, I may have what you want, and you can
>contact me by email. The "numerical engine" is pure Standard C, but it is
>embedded in old fashioned DOS graphics.
>
>Regards,
>Dieter

Thanks, but I do not know the function y(x1,...xn) except having a good reason
to believe that the best estimate is not a linear function of x1,...xn.

All the variables have chess meaning and I do not want to do that meaning public
in order not to help other programs in the competition, but if I tell nothing I
also cannot make a lot of progress, so I may consider the option to share
information with another programmer if the information is not public.

Uri



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