Author: Jesper Antonsson
Date: 15:38:21 07/05/02
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On July 05, 2002 at 17:36:11, Omid David wrote: >If as you pointed out the programs reach the depth of 50 plies, I believe most >of the games will end in a draw. > >But I don't see alpha-beta based programs reach even the depth of 20 plies in >next 50 years!!! No matter how fast the hardware will be, it won't match the >exponential explosion of alpha-beta trees. I don't agree. For 30 years now, hardware speed has also grown exponentially according to Moore's law. For as long as that law hold, using null move, you should expect at least one extra ply every 3 years, and to get to 20 plies, we thus need at most 18 years. I think Moore's law might just hold that long, but even if it doesn't, I'm almost certain we'll get to 20 plies in the next 50 years. All it takes is a quad machine with 1 THz Pentium-somethings. How hard can it be? :-) /Jesper
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