Author: Rolf Tueschen
Date: 12:44:04 07/12/02
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On July 12, 2002 at 15:40:07, Dann Corbit wrote: >On July 12, 2002 at 15:34:33, Sean Mintz wrote: > >>I'd be interested to see how long that would take :) > >Assumptions: >1. The chess engines do not improve branching factor at all, ever >2. A good chess engine can reach 15 plies (average) at 40/2 time control (the >only one that matters) >3. Every 2 years we get another ply. (pessimistic branching factor of 4) > >We are needing 45 plies to hit 60. > >In 90 years, chess engines will search 60 plies from a crowded board position, >even if they do not improve in the slightest. > >I suspect humans will have some trouble winning by then. Even Eduard. ;-) But then, in 90 years, they're gonna thaw me out of the ice and I will take over from Eduard... Seriously! Rolf Tueschen
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