Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 13:01:18 07/12/02
Go up one level in this thread
On July 12, 2002 at 15:44:04, Rolf Tueschen wrote: >On July 12, 2002 at 15:40:07, Dann Corbit wrote: > >>On July 12, 2002 at 15:34:33, Sean Mintz wrote: >> >>>I'd be interested to see how long that would take :) >> >>Assumptions: >>1. The chess engines do not improve branching factor at all, ever >>2. A good chess engine can reach 15 plies (average) at 40/2 time control (the >>only one that matters) >>3. Every 2 years we get another ply. (pessimistic branching factor of 4) >> >>We are needing 45 plies to hit 60. >> >>In 90 years, chess engines will search 60 plies from a crowded board position, >>even if they do not improve in the slightest. >> >>I suspect humans will have some trouble winning by then. Even Eduard. ;-) > >But then, in 90 years, they're gonna thaw me out of the ice and I will take over >from Eduard... > >Seriously! Everyone will be playing GO then and cringing in fear of the computers.
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.