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Subject: Re: The Two Bishops Experiment II

Author: Frank Schneider

Date: 21:46:19 07/21/02

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Thanks,

cool experiment.

Frank

On July 21, 2002 at 21:16:37, Mike S. wrote:

>What is the value of having the advantage of the two bishops? Can it be
>expressed in figures, i.e. evaluations, or as an %-impact on the performance
>percentage?
>
>
>The previous experiment:
>
>In an old and quite large experiment I did in 1996, I let play chess programs
>against themselves from 8 special starting positions, where only one side had
>the bishop pair, each (i.e. without Nb1, Bc8 etc.). To avoid having rating
>bonuses still included in the evaluation, I waited until one of the two bishops
>had disappeared, so I could read a kind of "real rating gain" which the 2
>bishops achieved, as the programs evaluated it.
>
>The average "rating success" so to speak, of the 2 bishops was
>
>+0.46 pawns (1996)
>-----------
>
>with white and also with black (IOW, there was no advantage of the first move
>visible). These games were not finished.
>
>
>New approach:
>
>Meanwhile, GUIs were much improved. For a new two bishops experiment, I used the
>same old 8 starting positions (EPD see below), but let play more games, and
>engines against each other (not against themselves). Also, I decided to use only
>final results for the statistics, no evaluations.
>
>5 engines played each of the 8 positions twice (w/b) against each of the 4
>opponents, which results in 160 games total.
>
>Results:                  W /D /L   %    (from the 2 bishop's viewpoint!)
>----------------------------------------
>White with the 2 bishops: 38/20/22 60,0%
>Black with the 2 bishops: 29/19/32 48,1% -> advantage of first move visible!
>----------------------------------------
>         2 bishops total: 67/39/54 54,1%
>
>Based on the previous experiment (and on other experiments without opening
>theory), I thought the advantage of the first move would only matter in computer
>chess, when opening books or theory positions are used. Without books no white
>advantage was visible to me, so far. This seems to have changed. The results
>above indicate an advantage for the first move of ~ +6% compared to a
>theoretical 50% result. It can also be expressed by the w/b points ratio which
>was 89,5:70,5 = 1,27:1 (or ~56:44)
>
>For comparison: In human games (2400+ elo), White scores ~55,2% according to my
>database. Chess programs score similar; I got 54,0% and 55,7% for White, from
>two large comp-comp databases which are partially identical (a few comp-human
>games are included). The main difference is the number of drawn games btw.,
>which is ~51% among strong humans, but only ~24%...25% among computers.
>
>The 2 bishops fought with White and with Black, in 80 games each.
>
>Main result:
>
>Having the 2 Bishops Advantage during the experiment, led to a score plus of
>
>~ +4 %, or 86,5:73,5 points = 1,177:1 (or ~54:46)
>------
>
>The figures varied comparing the engines: Hiarcs 7.32 - seemingly* - showed the
>strongest impact of the 2 bishops (17:12 points), while Junior 5 scored 11,0
>with, and 11,5 without the bishop pair.
>
>*) The results inavoidably are a mixture of (A) having the 2 bishops or not, (B)
>having the first move or not, and (C) the strength relation between the
>opponents. (A) and (B) were separated, see above. (C) shouldn't be a problem
>because full round robins were played. - But more important to consider is: The
>2 bishops were the only difference at the start, but probably many games were
>decided by other factors. For example, in a few games I watched live, the bishop
>pair disappeared soon and/or the adavantage seemd to change several times from
>one side to the other.
>
>
>Addendum:
>---------
>
>Start positions, i.e. to use in opening databases for engine matches:
>
>rn1qkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/R1BQKBNR w KQkq - 0 1
>rnbqk1nr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/R1BQKBNR w KQkq - 0 1
>rn1qkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RNBQKB1R w KQkq - 0 1
>rnbqk1nr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RNBQKB1R w KQkq - 0 1
>r1bqkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RN1QKBNR w KQkq - 0 1
>rnbqkb1r/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RN1QKBNR w KQkq - 0 1
>r1bqkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RNBQK1NR w KQkq - 0 1
>rnbqkb1r/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPPP/RNBQK1NR w KQkq - 0 1
>
>
>Program's total scores:
>
>1   Chess Tiger 14.0  42.0/64
>2   Fritz 7           41.0/64
>3   Hiarcs 7.32       29.0/64
>4   Shredder 5.32     25.5/64
>5   Junior 5.0        22.5/64
>
>
>Regards,
>M.Scheidl



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