Author: Thorsten Czub
Date: 23:19:07 08/09/98
Go up one level in this thread
On August 09, 1998 at 21:00:27, Bruce Moreland wrote: >If you are trying to test to see if a coin is more apt to come up heads than >tails, you can never know for absolute sure by flipping it, since any result is >possible. But the coin event does not give extra data. You have, as in a chess game, 3 stages, but you don't get evaluations, main-lines, and maybe 40 or 50 positions where the program has to decide which move to play. So why reduce it to 3 stages when I have much more data ? No - i have to disagree. If this would be real, I would advise kasparov and anand to throw coins instead of playing themselves... Maybe they would win more often against computers... >Some simple statistical concepts were regarded as top secrets during World War >II, because they allowed researches to prove that one drug was effective with >sometimes very few trials. Not everyone had figured this out by then. I am sure I can find out about almost any version faster and more precise than your statistics. And with less data game-data. I only have to see main-lines, evals and depth and see it live, than I can make better and more precise evaluations/ ratings. Why ? BECAUSE of the extra data i get in opposite to the coin-throw. BTW: i can rotate a coin on the table, it will rotate between 30 seconds and one minute, and than it will fall on one side. I can manipulate this pretty easy to with an chance that is bigger 80 % for the side you wish ! Have made much money in my childhood... because materialist-school-friends thought it is randomn ... statistics... pah ! >bruce
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