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Subject: Re: Hello from Edmonton (and on Temporal Differences)

Author: Miguel A. Ballicora

Date: 08:28:38 08/05/02

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On August 05, 2002 at 11:14:53, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:

>On August 05, 2002 at 08:04:25, Bas Hamstra wrote:
>
>>I have played with it. I am convinced it has possibilities, but one problem I
>>encountered was the cause-effect problem. For say I am a piece down. After I
>>lost the game TD will conclude that the winner had better mobility and will tune
>>it up. However worse mobility was not the *cause* of the loss, it was the
>>*effect* of simply being a piece down. In my case it kept tuning mobility up and
>>up until ridiculous values.
>
>Similar things will happen with passed pawn bonusses.

From the comments of everybody it looks like this TDLeaf procedure is cute way
to do a regression analysis of the parameters of the evaluation to fit a
humongous amount of data.

In a general sense, when you do any kind of non linear regression analysis, this
kind of things happen (parameters that go crazy) when you have parameters that
are not independent. This is a message to the researcher to express the equation
in a different manner to have parameters that are "more" independent or to fix
one of those.
I have never applied the method that you are describing but to me it looks like
that failure is an extremely useful information because it tells that the layout
of the parameters in the evaluation is probably not the optimal (at least for
that procedure).

Regards,
Miguel






>
>--
>GCP



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