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Subject: What is the probability that Fritz5 will play this draw game as white

Author: blass uri

Date: 07:21:30 08/11/98



I asked a friend who has the powerbook of fritz5 about the probablity fritz5
will
play the moves.
he found that the probability was positive for moves 4-20
but when we arrived to move 3 the probability was 0
He said that maybe he changed some parameters and this is the reason.

I want to know what is the probability fritz5 will play every move from move 1
to move 20.
If we multiply these numbers we can compute the probability
to do a draw with fritz5 by learning this game.

I know against humans in the tournament Fritz5 did 9.5 out of 11
Fritz5 prefered 3.exd5

Uri


[Event "summer-tournament"]
[Site "k6/200 40/120"]
[Date "1998.08.05"]
[Round "2"]
[White "Fritz5.03 power.ctg"]
[Black "Mcp7.1"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[WhiteElo "?"]
[BlackElo "?"]
[ECO "C19"]

1. e4 e6 2. d4 d5 3. Nc3 Bb4 4. e5 c5 5. a3 Bxc3+ 6. bxc3 Ne7 7. Qg4 Qc7
8. Qxg7 Rg8 9. Qxh7 cxd4 10. Ne2 Nbc6 11. f4 Bd7 12. Qd3 dxc3 13. Nxc3
a6 14. Ne2 Rc8 15. Rb1 Na5 16. Nd4 Nec6 17. Qh7 Ne7 18. Qd3 Nec6 19. Qh7
Ne7 20. Qd3 1/2-1/2



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