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Subject: Re: What is the probability that Fritz5 will play this draw game as white

Author: Moritz Berger

Date: 08:23:03 08/11/98

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On August 11, 1998 at 10:21:30, blass uri wrote:

>
>I asked a friend who has the powerbook of fritz5 about the probablity fritz5
>will
>play the moves.
>he found that the probability was positive for moves 4-20
>but when we arrived to move 3 the probability was 0
>He said that maybe he changed some parameters and this is the reason.
>
>I want to know what is the probability fritz5 will play every move from move 1
>to move 20.
>If we multiply these numbers we can compute the probability
>to do a draw with fritz5 by learning this game.
>
>I know against humans in the tournament Fritz5 did 9.5 out of 11

different (unreleased) tournament book was used in Frankfurt

>Fritz5 prefered 3.exd5
>
>Uri
>
>
>[Event "summer-tournament"]
>[Site "k6/200 40/120"]
>[Date "1998.08.05"]
>[Round "2"]
>[White "Fritz5.03 power.ctg"]
>[Black "Mcp7.1"]
>[Result "1/2-1/2"]
>[WhiteElo "?"]
>[BlackElo "?"]
>[ECO "C19"]
>
>1. e4 e6 2. d4 d5 3. Nc3 Bb4 4. e5 c5 5. a3 Bxc3+ 6. bxc3 Ne7 7. Qg4 Qc7
>8. Qxg7 Rg8 9. Qxh7 cxd4 10. Ne2 Nbc6 11. f4 Bd7 12. Qd3 dxc3 13. Nxc3
>a6 14. Ne2 Rc8 15. Rb1 Na5 16. Nd4 Nec6 17. Qh7 Ne7 18. Qd3 Nec6 19. Qh7
>Ne7 20. Qd3 1/2-1/2



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