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Subject: Re: Kasparov - Deep Junior score predictions?

Author: Geo Disher

Date: 04:06:42 08/08/02

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On August 07, 2002 at 22:58:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On August 07, 2002 at 14:44:36, Slater Wold wrote:
>
>>On August 07, 2002 at 14:01:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On August 07, 2002 at 12:50:34, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 12:42:22, Mig Greengard wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Hello all. Today I wrote about the announcement of the Kasparov-DJ match to take
>>>>>place in Jerusalem starting October 1.
>>>>>(http://www.chessbase.com/columns/column.asp?pid=145)
>>>>>
>>>>>I know the hardware hasn't been announced yet (I'm assuming it will a very
>>>>>large, heavy, white box) but it's never too early for half-assed predictions,
>>>>>right? I'm quizzing GMs as well -- they care even less about CPUs -- and I'd be
>>>>>interested in some early predictions here. Just make sure they add up to six.
>>>>>
>>>>>Saludos, Mig
>>>>>
>>>>>http://www.chessbase.com
>>>>>mig@chessbase.com
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Kasparov wins, 4-2.
>>>>
>>>>Regards,
>>>> Terry
>>>
>>>
>>>I think it will end as close as Kasparov can make it.  He won't want to
>>>blast the program because of the IBM debacle in 1997 and because he knows
>>>the authors/sponsors.  That will make it interesting, maybe...
>>
>>Bob, I don't think I see a prediction anywhere.  :)
>
>
>OK... what is the smallest winning margin for Kasparov?  That is my
>prediction.  3.5-2.5...

I would agree with your logic accept for the fact that I believe a small part of
his winning this is to show how weak he thinks these micro programs are compared
to deep blue.  I believe that he may want to demonstrate that he can dominate
these programs better than Kramnik.  I say this because I remember him talking
about what a joke it was when the Fritz vs Kramnik match was being compared to
his match with Deep Blue.  In other words we may get very lucky and he may crush
this program to show that A)  These programs cannot be compared to what he loss
to in Deep Blue and B)  He is stronger than Kramnik at defeating these machines.



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