Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 11:51:16 08/08/02
Go up one level in this thread
On August 08, 2002 at 00:29:19, Peter McKenzie wrote: >On August 07, 2002 at 22:57:33, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >>On August 07, 2002 at 17:59:21, Mig Greengard wrote: >> >>>Hyatt: >>>> >>>>I think it will end as close as Kasparov can make it. He won't want to >>>>blast the program because of the IBM debacle in 1997 and because he knows >>>>the authors/sponsors. That will make it interesting, maybe... >>> >>>So you think he can score at will against a program that made a 50% score in >>>Dortmund two years ago? >> >>A match is a _far_ different proposition than a tournament. I think he >>can draw at will, and probably win at will also. But I'll bet that as soon > >Win at will?? You have to be joking right? > >Draw at will? I don't think so. Junior won't take any short draws so Kasparov >will have to work for his money. Junior is always trying stuff and has teeth as >sharp as a razor if you slip up, so even Kasparov will have to be on his guard >otherwise he will be embarassed. > >I predict a drawn match. With that much green on the line, if I were Kasparov, I would: 0. Study anticomputer chess best practices (like the famous web site). 1. Buy a $10,000 machine to practice against and the latest copy of Junior. He can use the machine for chess study and analysis anyway and deduct it as a business expense. 2. Practice for two weeks solid against the program, looking for any weakness to exploit. I suspect under that scenario, he would win 6-0. Let's suppose that Junior really is at level 2700. Unfortunately, Junior cannot change his spots. If Kasparov can discover any crack in the armor, he will exploit it over and over. I think that sort of thing can knock off two or three hundred ELO. And don't forget Kasparov is 100 ELO better than a true 2700 player. He's probably the strongest chess player of all time. IMO, he's probably stronger than Deep Blue too (but followed bad advice, generally freaked out, etc.) and so the match he played against Deep Blue was tilted a bit. I think the match will demonstrate how far computers have to go to be on the same level as Deep Blue in 97. But we will see. I could be completely wrong about everything. ;-)
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