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Subject: Re: Kasparov - Deep Junior score predictions?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 20:56:56 08/08/02

Go up one level in this thread


On August 08, 2002 at 16:26:41, Uri Blass wrote:

>On August 08, 2002 at 15:28:27, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On August 08, 2002 at 00:29:19, Peter McKenzie wrote:
>>
>>>On August 07, 2002 at 22:57:33, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 17:59:21, Mig Greengard wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Hyatt:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I think it will end as close as Kasparov can make it.  He won't want to
>>>>>>blast the program because of the IBM debacle in 1997 and because he knows
>>>>>>the authors/sponsors.  That will make it interesting, maybe...
>>>>>
>>>>>So you think he can score at will against a program that made a 50% score in
>>>>>Dortmund two years ago?
>>>>
>>>>A match is a _far_ different proposition than a tournament.  I think he
>>>>can draw at will, and probably win at will also.  But I'll bet that as soon
>>>
>>>Win at will??  You have to be joking right?
>>
>>No.  I see GM players draw at will against commercial programs all the time.
>>So much that many of the "computer" accounts won't play against the specific
>>humans that do this.
>>
>>
>>>
>>>Draw at will?  I don't think so.  Junior won't take any short draws so Kasparov
>>>will have to work for his money.  Junior is always trying stuff and has teeth as
>>>sharp as a razor if you slip up, so even Kasparov will have to be on his guard
>>>otherwise he will be embarassed.
>>
>>
>>
>>No point in arguing since it will be settled publicly before long.  I don't
>>think _any_ GM will have trouble drawing against a computer whenever they
>>want.
>
>I believe that this assumption is wrong espacially when the GM
>does not know the changes that were done in the program.
>
>Suppose GM's get the following challange to play
>a match of 10 games against Junior8(they can only get Junior7)
>when they can earn 10,000$ if they do not lose even a single game
>but earn nothing if they lose even one game.
>
>If they believe that they can draw at will
>then I expect most of the GM's to accept
>the challange because they can be almost sure in earning 10,000$
>and only the top GM's can earn more than it.


There are certainly some that would accept it.  The problem they have
to overcome is boredom...  After drawing 7 in a row, it is not easy to
go out and play for yet another draw using anti-computer strategy.  They
tend to get impatient and decide to "play chess" for a game and that is
usually a mistake if they aren't careful about how the position develops.



>
>I am interested to know how many accept that challange.
>
>Uri



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