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Subject: Re: Kasparov - Deep Junior score predictions?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 08:41:32 08/09/02

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On August 09, 2002 at 06:01:20, Geo Disher wrote:

>On August 08, 2002 at 15:31:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On August 08, 2002 at 07:06:42, Geo Disher wrote:
>>
>>>On August 07, 2002 at 22:58:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 14:44:36, Slater Wold wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 14:01:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 12:50:34, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On August 07, 2002 at 12:42:22, Mig Greengard wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Hello all. Today I wrote about the announcement of the Kasparov-DJ match to take
>>>>>>>>place in Jerusalem starting October 1.
>>>>>>>>(http://www.chessbase.com/columns/column.asp?pid=145)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I know the hardware hasn't been announced yet (I'm assuming it will a very
>>>>>>>>large, heavy, white box) but it's never too early for half-assed predictions,
>>>>>>>>right? I'm quizzing GMs as well -- they care even less about CPUs -- and I'd be
>>>>>>>>interested in some early predictions here. Just make sure they add up to six.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Saludos, Mig
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>http://www.chessbase.com
>>>>>>>>mig@chessbase.com
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Kasparov wins, 4-2.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Regards,
>>>>>>> Terry
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I think it will end as close as Kasparov can make it.  He won't want to
>>>>>>blast the program because of the IBM debacle in 1997 and because he knows
>>>>>>the authors/sponsors.  That will make it interesting, maybe...
>>>>>
>>>>>Bob, I don't think I see a prediction anywhere.  :)
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>OK... what is the smallest winning margin for Kasparov?  That is my
>>>>prediction.  3.5-2.5...
>>>
>>>I would agree with your logic accept for the fact that I believe a small part of
>>>his winning this is to show how weak he thinks these micro programs are compared
>>>to deep blue.  I believe that he may want to demonstrate that he can dominate
>>>these programs better than Kramnik.  I say this because I remember him talking
>>>about what a joke it was when the Fritz vs Kramnik match was being compared to
>>>his match with Deep Blue.  In other words we may get very lucky and he may crush
>>>this program to show that A)  These programs cannot be compared to what he loss
>>>to in Deep Blue and B)  He is stronger than Kramnik at defeating these machines.
>>
>>
>>I think trying to get inside Kasparov's head is impossible.  He _could_ be
>>thinking along any of the following scenarios:
>>
>>1.  Smash DJ to show the world that even though he lost to DB, DB was so far
>>ahead of the micros that it doesn't really count...
>>
>>2.  Barely beat DJ to show that DJ is almost as good as he is, then claim that
>>they might be better than DB 97, but that he was "off" for that event and was
>>tricked by an unknown opponent.
>>
>>3.  Anywhere in between those two extremes...
>>
>>I wouldn't bet on anything for this match.
>
>I agree.  It will simply be enjoyable to watch.  Does anyone know yet what
>internet sights will be showing the games live?


Probably only the kasparovchess site, which means you have to pay to watch.



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