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Subject: Re: Is Deep Blue still considered better than Deep Junior ?

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 04:26:53 08/20/02

Go up one level in this thread


On August 18, 2002 at 22:34:04, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On August 18, 2002 at 20:47:58, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>
>>On August 18, 2002 at 17:09:08, Jonas Cohonas wrote:
>>
>>>On August 18, 2002 at 15:27:44, José Carlos wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 18, 2002 at 12:41:58, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On August 18, 2002 at 11:31:54, Chris Taylor wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On August 18, 2002 at 09:06:02, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>   Kasparov proved that he can defeat programs at fast time controls when he
>>>>>>>defeated Deep Thought in a game/90 two games match in 1989. This program was
>>>>>>>weaker than Deep Junior is today, as it searched well over 2,000,000 NPS, but
>>>>>>>didn't have as much chess knowledge as Deep Junior.  He also defeated Deep Blue
>>>>>>>in 1996. This program is obviously much faster than Deep Junior is today, but in
>>>>>>>my opinion Deep Junior still has more chess knowledge than Deep Blue had back in
>>>>>>>1996.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>PS: It is hard to compare Deep Blue of 1997 vs Deep Junior of today, but in my
>>>>>>>opinion Deep Junior Chess Knowledge could make up for the difference of Deep
>>>>>>>Blue super calculating power of 1997.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Pichard.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>One way would be to play some games with Deep Blue and Deep Junior.  Guess that
>>>>>>would settle once and for all who is the strongest.  Or would it just pour fuel
>>>>>>on the **whos** best fire.  Put together the blue box and match it up.  After
>>>>>>all it did beat the best player in the world at that time!  The advert could be
>>>>>>quite powerful.  The machine that beat Kaspy goes for Junior. Methinks there
>>>>>>could be some money to be made here? So this may not happen, shame?
>>>>>
>>>>>that will of course never happen. Just like fischer still is world
>>>>>champion, deep blue will be world champion in some scientist eyes forever
>>>>>too.
>>>>>
>>>>>To be clear. I feel that any 2650+ player of todaywill wipe out fischer
>>>>>if he plays like he played in 1970.
>>>>>
>>>>>New theory, better tactics, more insight in strategies, better training.
>>>>>
>>>>>A 2650 player of today is going to crush any world champ from before Karpov
>>>>>of course. No doubts.
>>>>>
>>>>>Robert J Fischer when the rating list started had 2780 or something. that was
>>>>>superb compared to anyone in those days. He was the best back then. No one
>>>>>was as good.
>>>>>
>>>>>But the level has improved a lot. Many will say now: "this is not a fair
>>>>>compare a modern 2650 player against someone who had only an old
>>>>>book from capablanca and tarrasch, if he could read german anyway".
>>>>>
>>>>>In fact a grandmaster did this comparision. He compared a top tournament
>>>>>in 1991 with a top tournament from 1920. The grandmaster was called Nunn
>>>>>if i remember well.
>>>>>
>>>>>The last few players in that tournament around the start of the 20th
>>>>>century, they simply blundered away piece
>>>>>after piece. Would be rated at most 1500 nowadays.
>>>>>
>>>>>The 'better players' in the tournament, considered *clear world top*
>>>>>back then, they blundered on average 5 times a game.
>>>>>
>>>>>*no modern topgrandmaster is doing that*.
>>>>>
>>>>>The level of the world top increases. This is logical. Suppose you
>>>>>get to the tennis court with a wooden racket. Even if you're called
>>>>>John McEnroe you will be of course get completely annihilated. A wooden
>>>>>racket and services of 160KM/hour (the speed at which McEnroe served) it
>>>>>is no compare to the 180-220 KM/hour services of modern tennis of today.
>>>>>
>>>>>He won't manage a single break of course.
>>>>>
>>>>>This is logical. Sport progresses. computerchess even faster. saynig that
>>>>>deep blue/deep thought was good in its days is justified. It beated some
>>>>>GMs. That the GMs played big shit games because they cared shit as they
>>>>>had nothing to proof and would get money anyway, that's no issue here.
>>>>>
>>>>>The issue is that it is so *obvious* that software in 2002 is much better
>>>>>than in 1997 that i am amazed that only Hyatt here doubts it.
>>>>>
>>>>>>Chris
>>>>
>>>>  Couldn't disagree more. Give Capablanca or Lasker a couple of months to train
>>>>against today's GM's and they'll do quite well. Talented players learn fast,
>>>>Vincent. It's not like programs. A program is "closed", it can't modify itself.
>>>>A player such as Lasker would be able to catch up in very little time.
>>>>  As for tennis, a fair comparison would be give McEnroe a new racket and see
>>>>how long does he need to get used to it. Otherwise it's not a fair comparison.
>>>>Lasker brain would not be obsolete today. His knowledge would be, but knowledge
>>>>can be learnt.
>>>>
>>>>  José C.
>>>
>>>I agree with you completely, there is a reason that todays top GM's show a lot
>>>of respect for players of the old days when talking about them...
>>>
>>>You could also flip the tennis analogy and have todays top players go back in
>>>time and see how they would fare with wooden rackets and slower balls, against
>>>the top players from back then.
>>>
>>>Regards
>>>Jonas
>>
>>I hope you realize very clearly that Deep Blue can't get upgraded.
>>Yes it was a big achievement for 1 man to make all that. The chip programmed
>>by 1 person. It's incredible.
>
>Would you mind explaining that?
>
>1.  The software part of the search most definitely could be "upgraded"
>as it was done many times...
>
>2.  The hardware could _also_ be upgraded.  Deep thought was upgraded to
>deep blue.  Deep Blue was upgraded to deep blue 2.  Why would you write
>something that is so obviously wrong???

the chip was improved no doubt. it was not even in verilog Bob.
How to *ever* upgrade that to todays 0.13 or 0.18 micron?

>3.  Even if the chess chips were "static" could not IBM give them a _bigger_
>(or faster) SP2?  They could easily fab more chips.  And run faster...  Of
>course that overlooks points 1 and 2 above completely, which is not reasonable.

10000 chips gives just 13 ply *at most*.

>
>
>>
>>But please don't compare it with 2002 software. It's going to get raped,
>>dicked and completely annihilated *everywhere*. Opening, first moves out of
>>book with structure, mobility, even good/bad bishop, king safety (see the
>>major errors it made there which none of todays program makes), exchanging
>>to endgame (2 horrible exchanges of a queen in the 1997 games, one Qxg6??
>>being a full blunder making from a better position a lost one) and finally
>>endgame.
>>
>>So the comparision is not fair, but i hope you realize how bigtime it
>>would get completely *destroyed* with induction against todays programs.
>>Not a single area where it is impressing. Let's not discuss tactics.
>>If you get 11-12 ply then tactics do not decide the game. I feel it
>>wasn't bad tactically at all if i look to the design specifications of
>>the extensions.
>>
>>Best regards,
>>Vincent



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