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Subject: Re: How close/accurate will the rating be in a 10 game match?

Author: Kerry McDermott

Date: 18:19:45 08/25/02

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Peter,

Why a trinomial distribution instead of binomial?  Because of the three possible
results... win, loss, draw?  I was actually thinking of this more in terms of a
t-test.  I can't quite figure out the draw aspect of it though.  Suggestions?

Are you saying that the results are so subject to random factors that even a
score of say 7.5-2.5 would be suspect?  What would the probability be that the
lower rated computer would have the 7.5?

Kerry



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