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Subject: Re: Crude estimate of the value of an amateur book --> 100 ELO

Author: Mike Byrne

Date: 18:01:35 08/26/02

Go up one level in this thread


<snip>>

>Cr+book verses Ya+book
>Cr-book verses Ya+book
>Cr+book verses Cr-book
>Ya+book verses Ya-book
>

With Cr+book verses Cr-book - I think the answer is obvious = cr+book will do
better - but cr+book vs Ya-book or Cr-book vs Ya+book - does the book help there
?  Intution and experience says yes - but by how much is it 100 points - is it
more than 100 points - I don't know.

So now that I am interested in this question , I just completed 100 games @ 2 6
where Yace scored 51% vs Crafty 17.16 SE 49% - both with books.

The second round is 100 games Ya+book vs Cr-book @ 2 6.

The third round is 100 games Ya-book vs Cr+book.

The fourth round is 100 games Ya+book vs Ya-book.

The fifth round is 100 games Cr+book vs Cr-book
==================================================================
Below are test rounds where we know the expected result is 50% in attempt to
gauge the randomness of results with book vs without book.  You would think
without book would be very close to 50%.  With book we might see more
variability in results - but perhaps not as large as above.
==================================================================
The sixth round is 100 games Ya+book vs Ya+book (it should be 50%)

The seventh round is 100 games Cr+book vs Cr+book (it should be 50%)

The sixth round is 100 games Ya-book vs Ya-book (it should be 50%)

The seventh round is 100 games Cr-book vs Cr-book (it should be 50%)

==================================================================

It will take a few days to run.







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