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Subject: Re: Waltzing Matilda (getting off-topic a bit, sorry)

Author: Bruce Moreland

Date: 18:08:29 08/16/98

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On August 16, 1998 at 15:49:14, fca wrote:

>On August 15, 1998 at 22:14:04, Bruce Moreland wrote:

>>Describe a method wherein with nothing more than a single ordinary coin you can
>>generate a probability of exactly 1/3.

>So, here is your answer (the "simplest" I see from an infinity of answers).
>
>1. As a trial, take the said ordinary coin and flip it twice.  Look at the
>result.
>2. If it is TT, disregard the trial altogether.  It does not count as a trial
>for any purpose.  Goto 1.
>3. If the result of the trial is HH, score 1 for the trial, else score 0.
>Increment the trial counter by 1.
>4. Goto 1 unless the trial counter has reached a suitably large number of your
>choosing.
>5. Divide the total score by the trial counter, and compare with 1/3.
>6. And if the answer is not very close to 1/3, your large-enough number wasn't
>large-enough!

How about this.  I will call a "failure" a case where you are in the 2/3 region,
and a success a case where you are in the 1/3 region.

1. Flip the coin.  Heads is a failure, done.
2. Flip the coin.  Heads is a success, done.
3. Back to 1.

bruce



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