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Subject: Re: I will bet on the machine for this coming match , Correction !

Author: Terry Ripple

Date: 23:22:16 09/20/02

Go up one level in this thread


On September 20, 2002 at 16:56:12, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On September 20, 2002 at 15:45:45, Terry Ripple wrote:
>
>>On September 20, 2002 at 10:36:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On September 20, 2002 at 08:12:17, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>
>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 23:10:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 21:55:44, Rick Terry wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 17:34:04, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 14:34:48, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 14:17:50, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 14:05:58, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On September 19, 2002 at 14:03:25, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>If Hiarcs 8 can at least use the new AMD 2.6 Ghz or the upcoming 3.0 Ghz Intel
>>>>>>>>>>by January, it might have a chance to win.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>http://www.chessevents.nl/bareev_match.shtml
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Note that this is 40 moves in 2 hours.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>The computer is going to have its "hands" full with this GM.  Or any
>>>>>>>>>GM.  At that time control.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>At 40/2 on AMD 2.6 or PIV 3.0, the advantage is to the comp.  The GM may win,
>>>>>>>>but Hiarcs 8.0 is the favorite in this match.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>This is great news, my best to both the GM and Hiarcs.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I totally disagree.  The longer the time control, the better the human will
>>>>>>>do.  Based on watching these games about 30 years now.  IE at correspondence,
>>>>>>>a good IM will tear the chips out of most any program going...  At blitz, the
>>>>>>>comp is nearly unbeatable...  _nearly_ being the operative word of course.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Hiarcs might be the favorite for you, but my instinct says "human".  At game/30
>>>>>>>the comp would definitely be favored.  At game/60 it gets tougher.  At a non-
>>>>>>>sudden-death time control, the human isn't going to get into time trouble and
>>>>>>>get blitzed...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Well Century 4 seemed to handle Van Wely quite easily, Hiarcs is much stronger
>>>>>>then Rebel on faster hardware.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>I don't think it "handled him quite easily"...
>>>>>
>>>>>but we will see before long,....
>>>>
>>>>Feb, 2002  Rebel Century 4 on an AMD 1900+ plays an even match against GM Van
>>>>Wely (Fide 2697, top 10 GM at the time) at 40/2.  Score for Rebel is +2, 0,
>>>>-2(no draws, all wins for both players were with the white pieces).
>>>>
>>>>It was an even match and on slower HW.  I would agree the in this match the GM
>>>>and computer are about even (but I like the comps chances if on 3Ghz machine,
>>>>with programmer operating and latest s/w).
>>>>
>>>>I agree with one of your later posts that most GM's can play the comps close,
>>>>but the advantage is now with the comps against most GM's at 40/2.  Perhaps 40/3
>>>>would be better for the human GM's.  A top 10 GM is about even on 2Ghz at 40/2,
>>>>this will be a good match, in 18 months it will need to be a Top 5 GM at 40/2.
>>>
>>>
>>>I think you are _greatly_ over-estimating the mhz contribution.  In comp vs
>>>comp, we pretty well know what additional nps will do.  But the same does not
>>>appear to carry over to comp vs gm.   As has been seen on ICC many times.  I
>>>don't remember the details now, but several of us ran some tests on ICC a
>>>few years ago, showing that doubling the cpu speed had no real effect on
>>>overall score against GM players.  I ran the test with Scrappy, running it on
>>>a laptop at 1/4 the speed of the normal machine I was using at the time, and
>>>there was very little difference in overall results against the same players
>>>(roman, udav, yasser, christiansen, etc...
>>>
>>>I won't say there was _no_ difference, but there was no 100+ rating change
>>>either, not even close...
>>-----------------------------
>>
>>Hi Bob,
>>
>>Is it possible that because you were playing "blitz" time controls that this was
>>the reason for not seeing any or little difference in the results compared to a
>>program playing at 40/2hr?
>>
>>Terry
>
>
>I don't know.  I do know that at one point, I had a quad P6/200, and my quad
>xeon 400, and I swapped them during testing, and during one marathon with Roman,
>playing 5 12 games, I asked "can you tell the difference between crafty at 2pm
>today and crafty now? and he said "not that I can tell."  One was well over 2x
>faster than the other.
>
>I also ran them "side by side" and there was little difference against the
>GM players, although there was a noticable difference against other comps...
>
>Not very scientific, however.  But it makes sense to me.  Yes they get better
>as they get faster, but if the games are not tactical, deeper searching doesn't
>improve positional play nearly as much as it improves tactics.
----------------------

Well, this makes sense! The games that were played during this test, did you
ever check what percentage were "tactical" vrs. "positional"?

Terry



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