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Subject: Re: Has Christophe's 0.01% chance actually occurred?

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 11:36:38 09/25/02

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On September 25, 2002 at 14:25:33, Roy Eassa wrote:

>On September 25, 2002 at 14:10:22, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On September 25, 2002 at 13:27:10, Roy Eassa wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>Is Ruffian really a completely new chess engine that is very, very strong?
>>>Christophe estimated the chances of this to be 0.01% in an earlier thread.
>>>
>>>(I'm catching up here after a couple weeks of PC problems, but recent Ruffian
>>>messages seem to be relatively positive.)
>>
>>
>>re-read what he wrote.  He said that the chances of a total "unknown" writing
>>such a strong engine alone is very small.  That doesn't preclude the program
>>being new.  And if it _is_ new, that suggests that another possibility we
>>both hinted at might be the case... namely that the author is not as unknown
>>as we might think...
>
>
>So the author might be somebody other than that Swedish fellow whose name has
>been mentioned here several times?  What is his role, then, I wonder?  And who
>might the author really be?  (Are there top-rank computer chess authors in
>Sweden?)

I think the point that Christophe was making that a person working in obscurity
and isolation is not going to make a world-beater chess program.

Then the point that Robert Hyatt made was that this person may not have been
working in obscurity.  Perhaps he has read the JICCA and/or the hundreds of
computer chess articles on the net.  Perhaps he has read Ernst Heinz's book.  Or
in some other way become familiar with the state of the art.

In this respect, I agree fully with Christophe and Robert, unless the author is
a genius of some perplexing magnitude.



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