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Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma

Author: David Hanley

Date: 11:41:59 09/25/02

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It's very very simple and well-understood.  You switch doors.

Let's suppose you choose door 1

If the prize is behind that one, and you switch, you lose
If the prize is behind #2 the host opens door #3, you switch, you win
if the prize is begine #3 the host opens door #2, you switch, you win

You can make arguements about a manipulative host, but that is just pointless
thrashing.  The problem illustrates a very important point about probability.

dave



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