Author: Rolf Tueschen
Date: 03:42:26 09/26/02
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On September 26, 2002 at 06:21:35, T. Opas wrote: >Sorry, for me its very easy: > >There are three doors, you choose one, then the host "eliminates" one of the >(remaining) doors and you have the right to switch - means you can choose again, >but now between two doors. > >And this is a 50/50 chance, isnt it? > >Best Torsten Seems so, but certain experts begin to add some attributs to the formerly chosen door, they say, that the door "inherited" the bad 1/3 chance from the first choice. In thought experiments the same experts come to the conclusion that with n doors, the inheritance is going down with 1/n if you always stick. So with 1 000 000 doors, you stay with your 1/1 000 000 chance, inheritance, if you stick and do not switch. But the thought experiment is bad. Because I can always switch and then in the end stick for one time. Also then my odds should be 1/n? Meaning 1/1 ooo ooo ooo ooo etc.? That is really crass, isn't it? Rolf Tueschen
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