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Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot)

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 13:42:37 09/26/02

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On September 26, 2002 at 16:14:46, Sune Fischer wrote:

>On September 26, 2002 at 15:30:42, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>
>>You are wrong because we had only one question. Was Marilyn right for the exact
>>text of the question. I said no, because the question did not make clear that
>>the host must _always_ open a door.
>
>What question are you refering too, not this one surely:
>"Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given a choice of three doors. Behind
>one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door-;say No. 1-;and the
>host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door-;say No. 3-;which
>has a goat. He then says to you, “Do you want to pick door No. 2?” Is it to your
>advantage to switch your choice? "
>
>Not only does it say he opens a door, it also says he knows what is behind the
>doors, and that he will open one with a goat, clearly he is all-knowing.

The question says that the host knows.
The question does not say that he always must open a door.

The host's strategy may be also to open a door only
if he knows that the first choice was correct and in that case switching your
choice is a mistake.

When you do not know the host's strategy then it is not clear what to do.

Uri



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