Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot)

Author: Rolf Tueschen

Date: 13:50:02 09/26/02

Go up one level in this thread


On September 26, 2002 at 16:42:37, Uri Blass wrote:

>On September 26, 2002 at 16:14:46, Sune Fischer wrote:
>
>>On September 26, 2002 at 15:30:42, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>
>>>You are wrong because we had only one question. Was Marilyn right for the exact
>>>text of the question. I said no, because the question did not make clear that
>>>the host must _always_ open a door.
>>
>>What question are you refering too, not this one surely:
>>"Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given a choice of three doors. Behind
>>one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door-;say No. 1-;and the
>>host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door-;say No. 3-;which
>>has a goat. He then says to you, “Do you want to pick door No. 2?” Is it to your
>>advantage to switch your choice? "
>>
>>Not only does it say he opens a door, it also says he knows what is behind the
>>doors, and that he will open one with a goat, clearly he is all-knowing.
>
>The question says that the host knows.
>The question does not say that he always must open a door.
>
>The host's strategy may be also to open a door only
>if he knows that the first choice was correct and in that case switching your
>choice is a mistake.
>
>When you do not know the host's strategy then it is not clear what to do.
>
>Uri

Ok Uri, you get my second medal for inspirations ontopic. The first went to
Bruce in CTF who admitted that he coudn't understand what I meant with "unique"
situation. Well you made a good argument.

:)

Rolf Tueschen



This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.