Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma(ot)

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 15:00:12 09/26/02

Go up one level in this thread


On September 26, 2002 at 17:06:21, Sune Fischer wrote:

>On September 26, 2002 at 16:42:37, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On September 26, 2002 at 16:14:46, Sune Fischer wrote:
>>
>>>On September 26, 2002 at 15:30:42, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>You are wrong because we had only one question. Was Marilyn right for the exact
>>>>text of the question. I said no, because the question did not make clear that
>>>>the host must _always_ open a door.
>>>
>>>What question are you refering too, not this one surely:
>>>"Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given a choice of three doors. Behind
>>>one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door-;say No. 1-;and the
>>>host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door-;say No. 3-;which
>>>has a goat. He then says to you, “Do you want to pick door No. 2?” Is it to your
>>>advantage to switch your choice? "
>>>
>>>Not only does it say he opens a door, it also says he knows what is behind the
>>>doors, and that he will open one with a goat, clearly he is all-knowing.
>>
>>The question says that the host knows.
>>The question does not say that he always must open a door.
>
>Yes it does:
>"the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door-;say No. 3-;"

This is only explanation of what happened.
The only information that is clear from the question is:
1)you play on a game when you choose a door.
2)The host knows what is behind the doors.
3)The host opened a door that is the wrong door.

This information is not enough to decide if you should switch doors.

It is possible to understand that the host has to open a wrong door but it is
not clear from the question.

The question only says:
"host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door-;say No. 3-;which
has a goat"

If his strategy is always to open a door is not clear from the question and the
only information that we know for sure is that he opened a door.

The question did not use past tense but present tense so it makes the impression
that the host always opens a door so I cannot say that merilyn was wrong but it
is not clear from the question so I cannot say that people who say that data is
missing are wrong.

Uri



This page took 0.02 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.