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Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma *Conclusion*

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 03:57:10 09/27/02

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On September 27, 2002 at 06:13:52, Sune Fischer wrote:

>On September 27, 2002 at 05:50:42, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>Very interesting to observe how people argue. In special the methods to prove
>>something that should be proved. That alone already justified the topic here in
>>the computer chess surroundings. Because it's IMO a traditional weakness in the
>>debates about 'strength', ranking lists and 'confidence intervals'.
>>
>>Here in the debate between Uri and Sune the problem becomes very clear. People
>>have a tendence to prove as true what they think to be true. But that proves
>>nothing but weak education in science.
>
>Funny, I was thinking the same thing about you.
>
>> - Uri makes very clear: "host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another
>>door" - this is exactly what the original question of Mr. Whitaker said. So,
>>correctly, Uri makes the conclusion: "This information is not enough to decide
>>if you should switch doors.
>
>Correct, this information is NOT enough, but you were given ADDITIONAL
>information! Namely that he opens to a goat! The only way he can do that is if
>he knows what's behind the doors, but that is exactly what he does!, it all
>fits.
>
>> It is possible to understand that the host has to
>>open a wrong door but it is not clear from the question.
>
>"You pick a door-;say No. 1-;and the host, who knows what's behind the doors,
>opens another door-;say No. 3-;which has a goat"
>
>None of us are native english speakers, so perhaps we can get a ruling from
>someone else.
>Does the above quote say if he opens a door or not?
>
>>If his strategy is
>>always to open a door is not clear from the question and the only information
>>that we know for sure is that he opened a door."
>
>No it says he "opens a door", not "opened" a door, so you know for sure that he
>will do it always.

I can only say that it is possible not to understand the question as always.
My first english is not english and I am not sure if opens means always opens.

It was possible to ask the question more clearly in order to prevent
misunderstanding.

Uri



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