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Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma

Author: Gerrit Reubold

Date: 05:14:28 09/27/02

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Hi Sune,

On September 26, 2002 at 14:47:32, Sune Fischer wrote:

>On September 25, 2002 at 15:06:58, John Merlino wrote:
>>correct if you switch. The "host" has nothing to do with it, because he/she MUST
>>choose a door to open.


>Not entirely correct, the host has got something to do with it. The host must
>KNOW which door hides the car. It is vital that he doesn't open a door to a goat
>by shear luck, because in that case you do not get that 2/3 odds.
>

I disagree, I am sure it doesn't matter whether the host opens a door (with a
goat) KNOWING where the car is or by SHEAR LUCK. The candidate should switch in
either case, thus improving his winning odds from 1/3 to 2/3. Of course, if the
host doesn't know and opens the door with the car (accidently), the game is over
:-)

Greetings,
Gerrit






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