Author: Gerrit Reubold
Date: 12:44:45 09/27/02
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On September 27, 2002 at 15:12:40, Rolf Tueschen wrote: >>>Let me again remind you of my metaphor with the candidate leaving to the >>>toilette after his choice. Then he comes back after the host had taken the rest >>>exception one. So the candidate has 2 doors in view, ok? And for this choice >>>then, either the one or the other, this is 1/2. And we should try to discuss it. >>>What I meant with the example. The candidate can not follow the complicated >>>simulation thoughts of the probability friends. He sees two doorsand he has both >>>the same chances no matter which one he takes. >>> >>>Note that it's HIS situation, not the one of the host or the experts outside the >>>hall. >>> >>>Rolf Tueschen If the candidate suddenly forgets his initial choice, and sees just these two closed doors, his chances are 50:50 to pick the right one, I agree. But this is not the game I was talking about. Greetings, Gerrit
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