Author: Rolf Tueschen
Date: 12:25:48 10/03/02
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On October 03, 2002 at 15:03:14, Marc van Hal wrote: >Kramnik v Deep Fritz > >Who will win the Kramnik v Deep Fritz Chess match? Will Kramnik stand up for the >human race or will Deep Fritz prove that computers are now too powerful? It’s >the super human against the Super Computer. For your FREE bet on the match, >please visit www.betsson.com > >Betsson.com is a betting exchange allowing people from across the World to bet >against each other and is dedicated to providing betting markets on chess. We >are offering betting markets on the overall winner of the match and on the >individual games. > >Odds for overall winner: Kramnik 1.72 (5/7), Deep Fritz 3 (2/1) and the Draw 5 >(4/1). > >Odds for match 1: Kramnik 10 (9/1), Deep Fritz 4 (3/1) and the Draw 1.4 (2/5). > >Regards > >The Betsson Team > >Well maybe betting on Vlad is not so bet after all >Personaly i see it as 50/50 > >Marc Coming from my in-depth research of the Monty Hall Game, I think I can prove that here FRITZ has a classical 50% chance. NB that Kramnik is being payed for such a draw. He gets 1 million if he wins and he gets 800000 if he draws. Now think of that! He has almost nothing to lose if he adopts the technique of drawing. Then he goes for no risks and is recompensated by 800000 dollars. I mean isn't it a crazy world this mystic oil paradise? If someone could tell me what he gets if he lost, then I could also prove the probabilities for that outcome, let's say he get's 700000 if he lost. Well, then he has three options from now on... ;) BTW I would accept any day (and nights) such proposals. And I would also promise in advance that I wouldn't try to win!! I would either go for a draw or a Fritz win by a small margin!! I would never complain, if I lost... Rolf Tueschen
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