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Subject: Re: Statistical Proof for a win of Kramnik in the second game!

Author: Mark Young

Date: 18:23:42 10/05/02

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On October 05, 2002 at 19:41:46, Rolf Tueschen wrote:

>1. Kramnik could draw against Fritz with Kramnik Black, so he is at least
>equally strong.

:)

>
>2. On Sunday Kramnik has White!
>
>So this is clear.
>
>Kramnik has 1/3 for his draw with Black and he has 1/3 for his being White.
>
>the other 1/3 is for Fritz.
>
>Since 2/3 is more than 1/3, Kramnik must win by _force_, for the statistics see
>the widely discussed Monty Hall Dilemma here and in CTF. Folks did prove that
>the car is with certainty behind the other door, that is the same now with
>chess!
>
>Kramnik has 67% advantage strategically and therefore he must win. Finger
>crossed!!! QED

:)
>
>Rolf Tueschen



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