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Subject: Re: Fritz is doing as majority of chess experts was expecting...

Author: Mike S.

Date: 14:50:50 10/08/02

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On October 08, 2002 at 17:28:39, Chessfun wrote:

>Come now, the Galaxy maybe....but the Universe.

Only of this planet :o) because you can't expect that an identical game is
played anwhere else.

But for the expert's expectations: In the opinion poll here, where only 106
voters participated (poll #61)

http://www.talkchess.com/ccc/poll/previous.html

most votes were for 5.0-3.0 (29) and 5.5-2.5 (27) in favour of Kramnik.

I forgot what I voted for, probably 5.5-2.5 because I thought 3 draws and 1 win
for Fritz would not be not too unlikely. But currently I doubt that Fritz can
make 2.5 points. We'll see.

More important than the number of points will be IMO, if it can score at least
one *win*. If *this* cannot be achieved, it would be a major setback for
computerchess or even for A.I. - Because we know, in a wider public of
non-insiders, everything is simplified down to a nearly idiotic level... and
they will say, superiority of machines in chess was just an illusion etc. etc.
(just like the sceptics always said before Deep Blue won).

(I didn't realise before the match started, how risky it probably was to
challenge Kramnik in that respect... also, being in the news worldwinde with
draw-loss-loss-draw-loss etc. isn't the best advertisement neither. So ChessBase
took a big risk in a commercial sense, too.)

But it's not over yet. I tend to be too pessimistic sometimes.

Regards,
Mike Scheidl



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