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Subject: Re: its possible to make 1 billion nodes/sec chip 2day- Hsu

Author: emerson tan

Date: 02:59:19 10/18/02

Go up one level in this thread


On October 17, 2002 at 17:46:15, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On October 17, 2002 at 15:31:54, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On October 17, 2002 at 15:01:21, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On October 17, 2002 at 14:23:19, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>On October 17, 2002 at 11:58:48, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On October 17, 2002 at 11:17:43, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On October 17, 2002 at 10:23:59, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On October 17, 2002 at 03:34:44, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On October 16, 2002 at 18:52:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>You are simply relying on _one_ game.  What about 10 years of total domination
>>>>>>>>>in computer chess?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>10 years of domination ending 7 years ago means absolutely nothing now.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>--
>>>>>>>>GCP
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Only to those that don't "think".
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>They dominated for ten years with hardware 100X slower than what they unveiled
>>>>>>>in 1997.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>If you take any reasonable program of today and make it 100x faster, do you not
>>>>>>>think it will
>>>>>>>totally dominate the other programs???
>>>>>>
>>>>>>If I take Fritz3(p90) and give it hardware that is 100 times faster then I
>>>>>>expect it to be weaker than Fritz7 of today inspite of a small hardware
>>>>>>advantage.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The progress that was made in hardware+software from 1995 is more than being 100
>>>>>>times faster except fast time control.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>If you put fritz3 on hardware 100 times _faster_ than fritz 7, I'll take fritz3
>>>>>in a match.
>>>>>
>>>>>This is _easy_ to test...  Start off 10x faster to see how bad 100x is going to
>>>>>end up.  10x
>>>>>will be murder
>>>>
>>>>I say 100 times faster than p90(the hardware that Fritz3 used to beat deep blue
>>>>prototype)
>>>>
>>>>If you put Fritz3 on 9000Mhz against Fritz7 on 2000Mhz when Fritz7 has bigger
>>>>hash tables I expect Fritz7 to win at least at long time control.
>>>>
>>>>Uri
>>>
>>>That isn't the point.  Thru 1994 deep thought dominated everybody, easily.  In
>>>1995 they
>>>lost one game to fritz.  In 1997 deep thought suddenly became 100x faster and a
>>>lot "smarter"
>>>with the new DB2 chips.
>>
>>This is what Hsu claims but we have no evidence that it is the case.
>>First he had to admit that the 200M nodes that IBM claimed in the matches were
>>wrong and there were only 126M nodes so it is less than 100 times faster than 2M
>>nodes per second of Deep blue prototype and it make me suspect that there were
>>more lies.
>
>I don't suspect _any_ lies.  I suspect different numbers based on different
>qualifications
>of how they were arrived at.  IE we _know_ they can't "count" nodes.  The
>hardware doesn't
>do that.  I hope we get a chance to ask him about his actual NPS, his actual
>parallel search
>efficiency compared to a single processor / single chess processor test, etc...
>
>
>>
>>Vincent claims that the effective number of nodes was smaller than 126M nodes
>>and 126M was not the number of nodes.
>
>Vincent claims his program is the best in the world, either tactically or
>positionally.
>Do you believe that?
>
>I don't.
>
>
>>
>>I do not claim to know.
>>
>>About being smarter I am also not sure about it.
>>No doubt that deeper blue had more evaluation then deep blue prototype but
>>the evaluation was not tested enough and there were bugs.
>
>Based on what?  That is a declaration, rather than opinion.  Which means you
>must
>have some actual facts to base that on???
>
>
>>
>>Uri


Deep Blue doesnt look smart when it gave Kasparov the drawing line in game 2 of
1997, unfortunately Kasparov didnt know that the program can miss this (The big
disadvantage of not knowing your opponent)



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