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Subject: Re: About the Results of Poll 16

Author: Robert Henry Durrett

Date: 19:04:28 09/05/98

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On September 05, 1998 at 21:27:22, Fernando Villegas wrote:

>I wonder what conclusion can be drawn from the fact that only  14% of people
>that answered the question would purchase Crafty, if commercially available in
>CD with the complete Book stuff, etc.
<snip>

>Fernando

(1) If I ever get any real money to spend I will purchase all of the top
chess-playing programs.  But I will purchase them in order of playing strength.

(2) There is a distinction between (naked) chess engines and chess-playing
programs, with the latter incorporating a GUI.  You can already get the Crafty
engine with ChessBase 7, I understand. Free.  [plus the more usual way to get
Crafty, of course.]

(3) It would be really convenient for people who are NOT computer-savvy to have
a complete Crafty "chess-playing program," comparable in GUI features to Fritz
5, on disk.  Unfortunately, the poll was only among CCC members, many of whom
are "computer-savvy."  Downloading software and "messing with it" is not the
favorite thing for most non-CCC members, I suspect.  The size of the market
cannot be estimated only by polling CCC members, since they do not comprise a
"representative sample" taken from the entire "population" of people who play
with chess-playing programs on their computers or purchase them.

(4) In any case, the price has got to be competitive!  Only the top program
[Fritz 5] can command "top dollar."  $100 is too much for anything but one of
the very highest-rated programs.  [Incidentally, the "ratings" the general
public will pay attention to, unfortunately, will probably be the
highly-publicized engine vs engine results.] The general public will shy away
from a high price tag because they will not know what they would be getting for
their money.  "Chess is chess, and any chess-playing program will do" may
reflect the sentiment of the general public.  They will shop for the "best
price" and probably purchase junk without knowing the difference.  Sell it for
$20 and they will "sell like hot cakes."

(5) It would be nice if UAB would give Bob the "go-ahead" to market Crafty.



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