Author: Rodney Topor
Date: 16:08:02 10/25/02
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On October 25, 2002 at 16:34:40, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On October 25, 2002 at 14:29:59, Uri Blass wrote: > >>You can translate pawn to expected result but not to probabilities. >> >>The expected result is the same in the following 2 cases: >>probability 1% win for white and 98% draw >>probability 40% win for white and 20% draw. >> >>The probabilities are not the same. >> >>Uri >> >And I would hope the scores are not the same for those two cases either. > >The 40% win probability should (IMHO) have a higher score than a position >with a 1% win/98% draw score... > >The latter should be near to 0.00 I guess Uri was trying to suggest that the second position was somehow unstable, with white and black both equally likely to win but a draw being relatively unlikely. I guess such a situation might occur in a wild tactical position. In this case, the 3 probabilities might describe the position better than a single expected value. But I have no idea whether this would be useful or not. Rodney Topor
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