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Subject: Re: Are Conventional Chess Engines Almost "Peaked Out"?

Author: Joshua Lee

Date: 11:12:17 11/07/02

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Fritz Going back to a3 after 4 hours and 20 ply pretty much proves that there is
still a bit furthur to go in strength of programs. On some moves it would take a
good 70 minutes to play a correct move just for starters and in the instance of
the missed draw in game 2 Rc8 is 41ply deep ....let me put it into perspective
Fritz on my 1Ghz will search 500Kn/s to look at 41 ply it would need hundreds of
years or if i had a 100+ Petahertz cpu
Just to turn one loss into a draw. Ofcourse if we had that technology the game
would be totally different earlier and maybe a win for deep fritz.
So atleast for the next mmm 40 years the answer is no.
in 39 years we should have Petahertz processors ateast if moore's law stays the
same



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