Author: Rémi Coulom
Date: 11:28:57 11/23/02
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On November 23, 2002 at 11:06:20, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: >Remi, Peter Fendrich also wrote a utility that (I think?) works similarly >to yours. I just emailed you the source. > >-- >GCP Thanks for the mail. I have taken a look at it, and the principle is the same. The major difference is that I obtain the result analytically, whereas he uses a Monte-Carlo method to estimate the integrals. The consequence is that my program is much more faster, more accurate, and can deal with much larger numbers because I use a multiprecision library. Also, I proved that the number of draws does not count. Steve Maughan's tool seems extremely fast and accurate. It seems like it consistently gives a result that is one more than my program, though. For instance, for 1000 losses and 95% confidence, his programs says 1076 wins are required, while it should be 1075 according to my calculations. Maybe he has a small bug. I'll email him to ask how he does, because he very probably understood something I have not. I do not understand how he can obtain the result that fast. Rémi
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