Author: Jorge Pichard
Date: 11:21:13 11/25/02
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On November 25, 2002 at 11:45:25, Osorio Meirelles wrote: >On November 25, 2002 at 07:08:19, Jorge Pichard wrote: > >>On November 25, 2002 at 07:06:05, Jorge Pichard wrote: >> >>> >>>I predict 21-19 or 21.5-18.5 for tiger15. >>> >>>18-16 suggests that tiger15 is slightly better so this is the reason that I >>>predict 3-3 or 3.5-2.5 for tiger15 in the remaining games. >>> >>>Uri >>> >>> >>>A 2 points or even 3 points difference doesn't indicate that Chess Tiger 15 is >>>better than Deep Fritz, we need at least a 5 points difference in a short match >>>of 40 games ,or a 10 points difference in a 80 games match. After all the >>>programs have played each other, only then we can estimate the real difference >>>between Chess Tiger 15 and Deep Fritz. >>> >>>Pichard. > > Given that the standard deviation is proportional to the square root of the >number of games, then a 10 points diference for 80 games, would be the >equivalent to a 5 point difference in 20 games. I also assume that this depends >somewhat in the distribution of wins and draws ( if there are a great number of >draws, a 3 point difference might be significant ). Do you agree ? Of course, since most of these draws are very hard fought, and I am not taking any credit away from Chess Tiger 15 which clearly has demonstrated to be one of the best so far, and probably will end being number one on the SSDF. Pichard.
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