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Subject: Re: Intel will benefit from this tefchnological advance gradually !

Author: Matt Taylor

Date: 16:55:47 12/16/02

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On December 16, 2002 at 18:35:21, Jesper Antonsson wrote:

>On December 16, 2002 at 18:18:19, Alessandro Damiani wrote:
>
>>On December 16, 2002 at 17:42:08, Jesper Antonsson wrote:
>>
>>>On December 16, 2002 at 07:48:59, Sally Weltrop wrote:
>>>>On December 16, 2002 at 04:52:40, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>>Intel could produce a microprocessor capable of 10 Ghz very soon, but they
>>>>>simply won't because they have to profit gradually from 3Ghz to 4 Ghz to 5Ghz
>>>>>etc... Simply the Murphy LAW is a profitable marketing strategy that has worked
>>>>>gradually, if they make the mistake of producing a microprocessor capable of 10
>>>>>Ghz in the next 6 months they will lose a lot of money, by NOT squeezing our
>>>>>pockets every six months as they have done for the last 20 years.
>>>>
>>>>excellent point.
>>>
>>>Sorry, no, it's far from excellent, actually the reasoning is invalid. Intel has
>>>competition, and that means that if they could churn out faster processors (at
>>>reasonable costs) but doesn't, AMD or someone else would do it and take over
>>>Intels market shares and profits.
>>>
>>>/Jesper
>>
>>Right, if Intel and AMD don't make an agreement to go for the smaller steps to
>>make more profit together. This would be against law. Great law! ;)
>>
>>Alessandro
>
>Yes. :-) And also, for such a conspiracy not to be obvious (and get police
>attention), IBM, Compaq, Sun etc has to be in on it too, because it would look
>peculiar if PowerPCs, StrongARMs, Alphas and SPARCs suddenly turned up at 10
>GHz, but the same didn't happen on the x86 market.
>
>/Jesper

No it wouldn't. MHz is only relevant within a design. There exist 10 GHz
processors right now. Also, consider Itanium which runs around 800 MHz. Seems
slow? It outperforms a Pentium 4 3.06 GHz. IBM has a 125 MHz processor which
will outperform ~1 GHz x86 chips. AthlonXP 2700 runs at 2.17 GHz and is roughly
as fast as a Pentium 4 2.8 GHz.

Whether or not AMD and Intel have a private agreement is speculation; however, I
find it more than curious that they release new chips at the same time. Also
interesting is that the P4 3.06 GHz is the same silicon that my roommate has
inside his Pentium 4 1.8 GHz chip.

Bottom line: Intel was able run 3 GHz last year, but they've waited a year to
release it to the general public. There's something to speculate about.

-Matt



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