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Subject: Re: Endgame Position : Is this a win for Black or a draw?

Author: Roy Brunjes

Date: 08:57:49 01/04/03

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On January 04, 2003 at 11:47:36, Enrique Irazoqui wrote:

>On January 04, 2003 at 10:58:00, Roy Brunjes wrote:
>
>>
>>I have been studying the following position, with the help of various programs,
>>and I am not sure if this is a win for Black.  This position was declared a win
>>for Black by some training software I am using.  The commentator there says that
>>after:
>>
>> 1. Kg3     Kc2
>> 2. Kxh3    Kxb2
>> 3. Kh4     Kxa2
>>
>>    "White needs 8 moves to queen and Black needs only 4"
>>
>>The commentator then goes on to say that if instead of 1. Kg3, white tries 1.
>>b4, that 1. ... Kc4! follows and the game is over.
>>
>>However, as you can see from the pgn I post below, after I forced the first move
>>on each side (1. Kg3 Kc2) Chess Tiger 14 plays 2. b4 and the game seems to be a
>>much tougher win for Black, if indeed a win still exists.  Odd how the
>>commentator sees 1. b4  but not the possiblity of 2. b4 after the Black King has
>>gone too far "south" to provide the same defense it could a move earlier.  By
>>the way, Tiger wanted to play 1... Ke3 instead of 1. ... Kc2.  Given a bit more
>>time, Tiger switches to Ke2 with the following played in the 30+30 shootout I am
>>running: 1. Kg3 Ke2 2. a3 h2 3. Kxh2 Kxf3 4. Kg1 Kxf4 and the eval is hugely in
>>Black's favor.  So it would appear that 1. ... Ke2 is superior to the
>>commentator's suggested 1. ... Kc2.
>>
>>I post below the analysis of Chess Tiger 14 (48 MB hash) generated by the H8 GUI
>>option "shootout" with a time control of 10 minutes + 15 seconds per move
>>increment on my 1.6 GHz laptop.  Tiger seemed to average about 20-25 seconds per
>>move at this time control.
>>
>>Tiger is a respectable endgame player and it can only see a draw after many
>>moves.  Is Tiger right?  I am running the shootout again, this time with 30
>>minutes + 30 seconds per move increment to see if additional time makes any
>>difference in the result.
>>
>>Here is the diagram ...
>>
>>[D] 8/8/6p1/1p3p2/5P2/3k1P1p/PP3K2/8 w
>>
>>And here is the 10+15 shootout output from Chess Tiger 14.0 on my P4 1.6 GHz
>>laptop using 48 MB for hash:
>>
>>1. Kg3 Kc2 2. b4 Kd3 3. a4 bxa4 4. b5 a3 5. b6 a2 6. b7 a1=Q 7. b8=Q Qe1+ 8.
>>Kxh3 Ke3 9. Qe5+ Kf2 10. Kh4 Qh1+ 11. Kg5 Qh5+ 12. Kf6 Kxf3 13. Qd6 Qg4 14. Qd2
>>Qxf4 15. Qd1+ Kg2 16. Qc2+ Qf2 17. Qc6+ Kh2 18. Qb7 g5 19. Kxg5 f4 20. Qh7+ Kg2
>>21. Qe4+ f3 22. Kf6 Qb2+ 23. Kf5 Qe2 24. Qg4+ Kf1 25. Kf4 f2 26. Qg6 Qc4+ 27.
>>Kg3 Qc3+ 28. Kh2 Qc7+ 29. Kh3 Qc8+ 30. Kg3 Qb8+ 31. Kh3 Qh8+ 32. Kg3 Qe5+ 33.
>>Kh3 Qe3+ 34. Kh2 Qf4+ 35. Kh3 Qf3+ 36. Kh2 Qd5 37. Qb1+ Ke2 38. Qb2+ Qd2 39.
>>Qe5+ Qe3 40. Qb2+ Ke1 41. Qb1+ Kd2 42. Qa2+ 1/2-1/2
>>
>>It appears to me that the commentator missed an important continuation for both
>>sides:
>>
>>    A.   1. ... Ke2 appears superior to 1. ... Kc2
>>    B.   After 1. Kg2 Kc2 it appears that 2. b4! draws
>>
>>What do you folks think?  What do your programs think?  Thanks for your help!
>>
>>Roy
>
>Hi Roy,
>
>I don't see how it could be a draw.
>
>
>8/8/6p1/1p3p2/5P2/3k1P1p/PP3K2/8 w - - 0 1
>
>Analysis by Fritz 8:
>
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.b4
>  -+  (-3.06)   Depth: 7/11   00:00:00  10kN
>1.Kg3!
>  -+  (-2.78)   Depth: 8/17   00:00:00  14kN
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.a3 h2
>  -+  (-2.59)   Depth: 8/17   00:00:00  16kN
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-2.87)   Depth: 9/14   00:00:00  20kN
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.a3 h2 3.Kg2 h1Q+ 4.Kxh1 Kxf3 5.Kg1 Kxf4 6.Kf2 g5 7.b3 Ke4
>  -+  (-4.72)   Depth: 9/34   00:00:00  42kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3!
>  -+  (-4.44)   Depth: 10/24   00:00:00  59kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3!
>  -+  (-4.16)   Depth: 10/24   00:00:00  63kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3!
>  -+  (-3.59)   Depth: 10/24   00:00:00  68kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.b4 Ke3 3.a3 h2 4.Kxh2 Kxf4 5.Kg2
>  -+  (-2.50)   Depth: 10/26   00:00:00  76kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-2.81)   Depth: 11/22   00:00:00  85kN, tb=4
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.b3 Kxf4 5.a4 bxa4 6.bxa4 Ke5 7.a5 Kd6
>  -+  (-2.94)   Depth: 11/34   00:00:00  154kN, tb=5
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-3.22)   Depth: 12/28   00:00:00  169kN, tb=6
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.a3 h2 3.Kg2 h1Q+ 4.Kxh1
>  -+  (-3.28)   Depth: 12/31   00:00:00  219kN, tb=12
>1.Kg3 Ke2 2.a3 h2 3.Kg2 h1Q+ 4.Kxh1 Kxf3 5.b3 Kxf4
>  -+  (-3.28)   Depth: 13/25   00:00:00  318kN, tb=19
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-3.56)   Depth: 14/27   00:00:01  440kN, tb=46
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.b3 Kxf4 5.Kg1 Ke4 6.a4 b4 7.Kf2 g5
>  -+  (-3.81)   Depth: 14/42   00:00:01  543kN, tb=63
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-4.09)   Depth: 15/25   00:00:02  640kN, tb=95
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.b3 Kxf4 5.Kg1 Ke4 6.a4 b4 7.Kf1
>  -+  (-4.12)   Depth: 15/35   00:00:03  908kN, tb=170
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.b3 Kxf4 5.Kg1 Ke4 6.Kf1 g5 7.a4
>  -+  (-4.22)   Depth: 16/29   00:00:04  1254kN, tb=381
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 Ke4 6.b3 g5 7.Kg2 f4
>  -+  (-4.37)   Depth: 17/32   00:00:07  1934kN, tb=855
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-4.66)   Depth: 18/31   00:00:09  2507kN, tb=1374
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 g5 6.b3 g4 7.Kg2 Ke5
>  -+  (-4.69)   Depth: 18/40   00:00:12  3718kN, tb=2066
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-4.97)   Depth: 19/34   00:00:16  4972kN, tb=2994
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 g5 6.b3 g4 7.Kg2 Ke5
>  -+  (-5.34)   Depth: 19/43   00:00:22  7563kN, tb=4909
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 g5 6.b3 g4 7.Kg2 Ke5
>  -+  (-5.34)   Depth: 20/36   00:00:33  10416kN, tb=7951
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-5.62)   Depth: 21/39   00:00:45  15682kN, tb=13627
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 g5 6.b3 g4 7.Kg2 Ke3
>  -+  (-9.09)   Depth: 21/56   00:01:24  31600kN, tb=26421
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 g5 6.b3 g4 7.Kg2 Ke3
>  -+  (-9.09)   Depth: 22/42   00:02:07  46375kN, tb=41661
>1.Kg3--
>  -+  (-9.37)   Depth: 23/45   00:03:24  87234kN, tb=80090
>1.Kg3 Ke3 2.a3 h2 3.Kxh2 Kxf3 4.Kg1 Kxf4 5.Kf2 Ke4 6.Ke2 f4 7.b3 f3+ 8.Kf1 g5
>9.Kf2 g4
>  -+  (-9.50)   Depth: 23/50   00:04:50  131320kN, tb=130794
>
>(Irazoqui, MyTown 04.01.2003)

Hi Enrique!

My question was (despite my spending almost 30 minutes on my post!) poorly
stated.  As the position sits, it is a win for Black, and Fritz shows that
wonderfully.  My true question (hidden, unfortunately) was that if you play

1. Kg3 Kc2, then is this a draw or a win for Black?  Giving Tiger more time
shows this is still a win for Black (at least according to Tiger) by the
following line:

 1. Kg3   Kc2
 2. b4    Kd3
 3. a4    bxa4
 4. b5    a3
 5. b6    a2
 6. b7    a1Q
 7. b8Q   Qe1+
 8. Kh2   Qf2+
 9. Kxh3  Qxf3+
10. Kh2   Ke2
11. Qe8+  Kf2
12. Qxg6  Qxf4+
13. Kh3   Qe3+
14. Kh4   f4
15. Qc2+  Kf1
16. Qg6   Qe1

And the eval is more than 10 points in Black's favor.

This was a shootout with 30 minutes + 30 seconds increment after forcing the
first move shown above for both sides.

Still, not a trivial win by any means.  I think that the author of this example
should have provided more analysis!  There are several tricks along the way that
could trip up a less than master strength player, in my opinion.

Roy



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