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Subject: Re: Finding a winning line for Botvinnik-Ragozin

Author: Drexel,Michael

Date: 14:05:47 01/04/03

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On January 04, 2003 at 16:01:24, S. Trussler wrote:

>
>Finding a winning line for Botvinnik-Ragozin (5th match game, 1940)
>
>[D]r1bq2k1/ppp2ppp/2np1n2/8/2PP4/1NP1rB2/P5PP/R1BQ1RK1 b - - 0 1
>
>In the posted position, Botvinnik states that if Black plays 12 .... Rxc3 then:
>
>"Naturally, 12 ..., R X P would also be followed by 13 B-Kt5! and
>then Q-Q2, and Black would be quite helpless."
>
>In the actual game Ragozin instead played 12 ... Re8 and must have recognized
>a danger in taking the pawn.
>
>But in using Deep Fritz 7 on a PIII 750 MHz (hash table = 128MB), I haven't
>found a convincing line which renders Black helpless if Black does play
>12 ... Rxc3. Perhaps the position requires more positional finesse and
>additional moves to realize a winning game for White and this just goes beyond
>what DF 7 can find in the time that I allowed it to run. Of course the other
>possibility is that Botvinnik overlooked some of Black's defensive resources.
>In any case, my analysis actually starts after 12 .... Rxc3 13. Bg5 Rxc4 since
>I was interested in the consequences of Black's pawn grabs. As others may find,
>if you start instead from 12 ... Rxc3 DF7 actually rates 13. Bxc3 higher than
>13. Bg5 but I'm only interested in Botvinnik's 13. Bg5 at the moment. Here is
>DF7's analysis of the position after 13 ... Rxc4, when running for just over
>9.5 hours:
>
>M. Botvinnik,S - V. Ragozin
>r1bq2k1/ppp2ppp/2np1n2/6B1/2rP4/1N3B2/P5PP/R2Q1RK1 w - - 0 1
>
>Analysis by Deep Fritz 7:
>
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd3 d5 16.Be4 Nb4 17.Bxh7+ Kg7
>  ³  (-0.41)   Depth: 6/19   00:00:00  89kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Be4 f5 16.Bd5 Ra4 17.Bxc6 bxc6 18.Qf3
>  ³  (-0.47)   Depth: 7/20   00:00:00  168kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Be4 f5 16.Bd5 Ra4 17.Bxc6 bxc6 18.Qf3 Be6 19.Qxc6
>  ³  (-0.47)   Depth: 8/24   00:00:01  366kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Be4 f5 16.Bd5 Ra4 17.Bxc6 bxc6 18.Qf3 Be6 19.Qxc6
>  ³  (-0.47)   Depth: 9/28   00:00:03  985kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Bd5 Ra4 16.Qh5 Be6 17.Be4 f5 18.Bxf5 Bxf5 19.Qxf5 Kh8 20.Rab1
>  ³  (-0.37)   Depth: 10/29   00:00:10  3618kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd3 d5 16.Be4 dxe4 17.Qxc4 Be6 18.Qc3 Bxb3 19.Qxb3 Qxd4+ 20.Kh1
>Re8
>  ³  (-0.50)   Depth: 11/30   00:00:25  9440kN
>14.Bd5!
>  ³  (-0.47)   Depth: 11/30   00:00:34  13105kN
>14.Bd5 Rb4 15.Bxf6 gxf6 16.Qe1 Rb5 17.Qg3+ Kh8 18.Bxc6 bxc6 19.Rac1 Rg5 20.Qf3
>Bd7 21.Nd2
>  ³  (-0.50)   Depth: 12/33   00:01:13  28831kN
>14.Bd5 Ra4 15.Bxf6 gxf6 16.Qh5 Be6 17.Be4 f5 18.Bxf5 Bxf5 19.Rxf5
>  ³  (-0.41)   Depth: 13/36   00:04:23  107007kN
>14.Bd5 Ra4 15.Bxf6 gxf6 16.Qh5 Be6 17.Be4 f5 18.Bxf5 Bxf5 19.Rxf5 Qe7
>  ³  (-0.47)   Depth: 14/38   00:09:01  222199kN
>14.Bxf6!
>  ³  (-0.44)   Depth: 14/43   00:11:28  281703kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd2 d5 16.Be2 Qd6 17.Rae1 Rb4 18.Bh5 Ne7 19.Qh6 Rb6
>  ³  (-0.41)   Depth: 15/41   00:33:04  816644kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd2 d5 16.Be2 f5 17.Bd3 Be6 18.Rf4 Ra4 19.Raf1 Qe7 20.Bb5
>  ³  (-0.28)   Depth: 16/45   01:27:08  2159012kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd2 d5 16.Be2 f5 17.Bd3 Be6 18.Rf4 Rb4 19.Bxf5 Bxf5
>  =  (-0.25)   Depth: 17/45   03:46:27  5282647kN
>14.Bxf6 gxf6 15.Qd2 d5 16.Be2 f5 17.Rae1 Be6 18.Rf3 Qf6 19.Bxc4 dxc4 20.d5
>  =  (-0.25)   Depth: 18/51   09:46:32  13641581kN
>
>Not a winning position for white (according to DF7) at this point, although
>there has been some improvement for White since the DF7's initial evaluation
>and perhaps White's eval. will increase further if the analysis is continued
>from 20. d5.
>
>Anyone with more horsepower and/or different software find anything better?
>
>
>Regards,
>Shaun Trussler

just look at the position after 15...d5. Black is three pawns up and what
did your engine say?
(-0.25)
that indicates that white has huge positional advantage. Blacks King position
is very week and the black rook at c4 is out of play. Im almost sure that
this is a forced win for white. 16.Be2 f5 17.Tae1 is strong.
never consider to take the rook at c4. improve your position instead and see
how evaluations change.




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