Author: Terry McCracken
Date: 16:55:39 01/16/03
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On January 16, 2003 at 19:43:13, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On January 16, 2003 at 19:40:59, Terry McCracken wrote: > >>On January 16, 2003 at 16:29:48, Robert Hyatt wrote: >> >>>On January 16, 2003 at 16:16:02, david wight wrote: >>> >>>>please help with your thoughts. >>> >>> >>>It is far enough off that it is impossible to predict. Who knows what programs >>>will be around by that time? >> >>In 2010 no human will be stronger than the strongest programme on the fastest >>hardware. >> >>That's a _safe_ prediction! >> >>Terry > > >In _eight_ years? > >The question is "what is the fastest hardware?" > >If you mean reasonable in terms of price, I don't think there is a chance >this will happen. If you mean the fastest thing somebody can use, there is >maybe a 10% chance this will be true... 10% Bob, in the next 7 years? C'mon, we're not too far off now!;-) Fastest home computer will be close if not equal to a 2800+ Super Grandmaster. The fastest hardware by that time (a supercomputer), if used for chess will exceed 3000+ rating points against humans at any T/C. Terry
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