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Subject: Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program

Author: Sune Fischer

Date: 15:08:45 01/20/03

On January 20, 2003 at 17:27:44, Dann Corbit wrote:

>>>No contest can truly tell us which program is strongest.  Not even a trillion
>>>rounds of round-robin.
>>I disagree again.  I believe a trillion rounds will show which program is
>>strongest.
>
>You're wrong.
>

No he is right.
There is a saying in statistics (IIRC correctly) "null events don't happen".

Basicly it means things that are very very improbable are impossible.

You would never see TSCP beat Fritz more than 50% of the time if you did a
trillion games. No one has done more than a trillion games yet, we all know
fritz is stronger, why is that? ;)

-S.

Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Dann Corbit 15:34:21 01/20/03
- Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Sune Fischer 15:41:02 01/20/03
  - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Dann Corbit 18:15:53 01/20/03
    - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Sune Fischer 05:26:42 01/21/03
    - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program James T. Walker 04:33:46 01/21/03
      - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Dann Corbit 11:49:36 01/21/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program James T. Walker 15:17:15 01/21/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Sune Fischer 16:09:17 01/21/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Rolf Tueschen 11:51:50 01/22/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Sune Fischer 14:11:26 01/22/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Dann Corbit 15:19:45 01/22/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Rolf Tueschen 15:55:28 01/22/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Dann Corbit 16:57:15 01/22/03
      - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Rolf Tueschen 05:12:33 01/21/03
    - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Rolf Tueschen 02:47:24 01/21/03
      - Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program James T. Walker 04:46:29 01/21/03
        
        Re: 9 rounds will not always give you the "best" program Rolf Tueschen 05:10:18 01/21/03

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