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Subject: Re: DB2 is stronger thab DJ and DF, right????

Author: Bruce Moreland

Date: 23:15:29 01/26/03

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On January 26, 2003 at 22:02:11, Thomas McBurney wrote:

>On January 26, 2003 at 21:37:27, Derek Paquette wrote:
>
>>AM I right to say this?
>>Have any GM's BESIDES kram and kasp (who don't count, they were in the match)
>>said any things towards this subject?
>
>Deep Thought II could search around 10 million nodes per second, and this is
>using hardware designed in 1985. Deep Blue, I think was around 100 times faster
>than Deep Thought.  Gary Kasparov easily defeated Deep Thought.  So given that
>DJ probably isn't even anywhere near as fast as Deep Thought II then I don't
>feel that it can compete with the likes of Gary.

The problem with this is that you don't know, you have to guess.  This is not
your problem, the problem is that the machine is unavailable and does not
compete.

As someone who has some interest in saying true things and in not saying false
things, I find it very difficult to say anything about DB, or for that matter
DT.

Absolutely no offense intended, but listening to anyone try to figure out DB is
like reading medieval scientific writings.  Good conclusions are hampered by
lack of evidence and the necessity to avoid contradiction with religious dogma
and previous scientific work that is deemed to be undeniably true.

The fact is that unless the machine is produced and examined, we cannot conclude
anything about it.

IBM broke the machine down because they had achieved their goal -- the general
population thought that they -- IBM -- had solved chess for all intents and
purposes.  I oppose this as completely as I can, for two reasons:

1) It did immense damage to the field of computer chess.  The general population
thinks that chess is solved.
2) The entire thing is not how science is supposed to work.  Science does not
take a result that may very well be due to chance, and refuse to attempt to
repeat it.

I absolutely refuse to allow anyone to make an unchallenged assertion that DB
was strong at all.  The fact is, we do not know if it was strong or not.

DB was a PR project.  It was not a scientific project.  The stated goal of the
DB project was to produce as many "impressions" as a Super Bowl commercial, for
less money.  Absolutely true -- no joke.

I give IBM's result as much credence as I give to that UFO cult's assertions
that they have produced a human clone, and I think that it is sick that the
computer chess community stands for this.

>After watching the game today, I get the impression that DJ is broken.  The
>moves e5 and Re8 look like stupid moves and I cannot replicate these moves with
>any of my chess programs even after two hours of thinking.  Does anybody know if
>the DJ team has been fiddling with the program in preparation for the match?

I don't believe that they are allowed to fiddle with it.

It is possible that it is broken, but it is also possible that:

1) It has been tuned to play very actively, and the machine decided to pitch an
exchange, in a difficult position, for some random reason involving perceived
compensation.  My own program certainly does this from time to time, even when
the position is not necessarily difficult.

2) The strong hardware combined with DJ's well-known great strength created a
situation wherein DJ knew it was toasted, and it thrashed out a move when it saw
that its original choice was going down the drain.

Either of these is very possible.

bruce



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