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Subject: Re: Equality?

Author: George Wilson

Date: 10:09:12 01/31/03

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On January 31, 2003 at 12:54:58, Christopher A. Morgan wrote:

>Although the argument will go on, a pattern is emerging that the top chess
>programs playing at a relatively modest speed of +/- 3 million nps are near or
>at equality with human super grandmasters.  This speed is less than 2% of the
>speed of Deep Blue II in its match with Kasparov in 1997.
>
>After 15 recent games of super GMs versus three different programs the score is
>equal (Kramnik-DF (8), Bareev-Hiarcs X(4), and Kasparov-DJ(3)).  The human
>players are the number 1, 2 and 8 players in the world with an average ELO of
>2794 (January 2003 FIDE ELO list).
>
>Although, statistically, 15 games are not enough to come to a definitive
>conclusion, it appears clear that insofar as playing humans (meaning the very
>top chess playing humans) the machines will, within a relatively short time,
>decisively win every match with humans. It has taken the machines a very long
>time to get to where they are today.  It is still incredible to me that humans
>are still competitive in what is essentially a game of calculation. Human
>intelligence is extraordinary.


You forgot to also add the incredible result of Century 4 against Van Wely,
Century Drew the Four game match, running on very modest hardware  xp1800+



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