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Subject: Re: German Kishon's relevations about DEEPJUNIOR

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 07:21:49 02/02/03

Go up one level in this thread


On February 02, 2003 at 08:35:21, Rolf Tueschen wrote:

>On February 01, 2003 at 22:02:02, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On February 01, 2003 at 12:48:44, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>
>>>On February 01, 2003 at 12:30:24, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On February 01, 2003 at 11:22:20, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On January 31, 2003 at 22:58:54, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On January 31, 2003 at 18:45:11, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On January 31, 2003 at 18:40:15, Eduard Nemeth wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On January 31, 2003 at 11:05:56, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On January 31, 2003 at 07:56:58, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>As a careful scientist I can present the following results. The details of my
>>>>>>>>>>method must remain secret, but you are invited to read CTFfor example.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>The actual program against Kasparov for the first time in history played for all
>>>>>>>>>>the psyche of a concrete human opponent. We know that Kasparov believes in
>>>>>>>>>>magic. Numbers are very important for him as symbols for something coming from a
>>>>>>>>>>hidden world. So in consequence Kasparov believes in the super-natural of chess.
>>>>>>>>>>Now what DEEP JUNIOR has done in game three is giving Kasparov the perception of
>>>>>>>>>>a position that is completely lost for the computer side. In front of a castled
>>>>>>>>>>King Kasparov saw two Knights on f6 and h6. Not enough, he had an open g-file
>>>>>>>>>>against such a configuration! And his own King could still castle to the Queen's
>>>>>>>>>>side! Three officers were directed against Black's King-side. Queen and two
>>>>>>>>>>Bishops! The black King might have felt like Israel in front of the Arab World.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>But did Kasparov EVER have such a winning position against a human opponent? Of
>>>>>>>>>>course not because only patzers would play like that. And against patzers you
>>>>>>>>>>don't need your best chess. Here is the secret of the actual design of the
>>>>>>>>>>Israeli computer program. What would happen if Kasparov had to win such a won
>>>>>>>>>>position against precise calculations on the border of the allowed and possible
>>>>>>>>>>in chess? Is he prepared for such a challenge? Of course not!
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>You are making one assumption that may turn out to be faulty:  "The position
>>>>>>>>>was winning for white after g4 Nxg4".
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>It looked dangerous for black.  But "looks" don't win against a computer.
>>>>>>>>>Against a human, black might well have "folded".  Just as surely as Kasparov
>>>>>>>>>folded near the end of the game.  But a computer generally won't, and during the
>>>>>>>>>game no computer ever thought white was up by as much as a whole pawn.  So it
>>>>>>>>>might just be a case of something looking dangerous but not really being
>>>>>>>>>dangerous.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Computers are known for their ability to handle such positions very well, and
>>>>>>>>>the inherent problem in such positions is that quite often, there is a very
>>>>>>>>>fine line to walk as the position is played by both sides.  Anytime you put
>>>>>>>>>a human in a position where he has _one_ good choice, and _lots_ of fair to
>>>>>>>>>bad choices, for many moves, the probability of a single mistake goes way up,
>>>>>>>>>and what we saw in game three happens.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Ng6+ was a solid drawing move, but Kasparov either (a) missed it (which seems
>>>>>>>>>unlikely) or (b) he thought the rook move gave him winning chances, without
>>>>>>>>>enough time to really analyze carefully.  Whichever reason really doesn't
>>>>>>>>>matter that much.  If you are the world's best "minesweeper" you still take
>>>>>>>>>a chance every time you walk on to a minefield...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I believe that Gary not draw to play wanted and therefore Rh5 played. The cause
>>>>>>>>lies in my opinion into game 2. There Gary has one win line missed and thus
>>>>>>>>wanted it into game 3 to _absolutely_ win!
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>:)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yes, Eduard, aber Bob versteht ja gar nicht, daß Garry in Nummer 2 gewinnen
>>>>>>>konnte. Er glaubt, daß Garry echt Glück gehabt hat gegen DJ noch diesen Remisweg
>>>>>>>gefunden zu haben... <grins>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yes Eduard, but Bob only sees that Garry could draw in Game Two, but not win.
>>>>>>>Bob thinks that Garry was lucky in finding a way out in Game Two when DJ was
>>>>>>>almost winning. <g>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Rolf Tueschen
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I don't believe I ever said "he was lucky in game 2".  He made an incredibly
>>>>>>deep sacrifice offer that I'd bet he was sure the computer would take, and it
>>>>>>led to a position that gave black lots of chances.  But white made no mistakes
>>>>>>and the chances were all "vaporous" and the draw ensued.
>>>>>
>>>>>False! The chances were high enough to win! Please read the variations on
>>>>>ChessBase.
>>>>>
>>>>>Rolf Tueschen
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>False again.  I don't care _what_ "chessbase" publishes.  Kasparov said
>>>>"I later thought Qa1 was wrong and that I should have played f4, but
>>>>analysis by my group later showed that f4 also led to a draw."
>>>>
>>>>That's good enough for me...
>>>
>>>Without the lines you would buy everything _Kasparov_ is telling you??? :)
>>>
>>>I don't follow you. We have found, also published here in CCC, lines with clear
>>>advantage for Black, Bob, that's a fact.
>>
>>So what?  In _every_ game white starts off with a _clear_ "advantage".  But
>>it isn't always enough to win.  Which may well have been the case here.  It is
>>one thing to have an advantage or edge.  It is still another thing to convert
>>that into a win.  Often a single pawn is not enough, for example, and in many
>>positions two pawns or even a piece is not enough.
>
>
>But that is all true and also NOT the point. Because following that specific
>argument chess as such should no longer be played because why should White try
>to win if it's so difficult.
>
>You simply deny the iron rule in chess that without playing at all you can't
>win. For the same logic you also do not forfeit because then you have lost for
>sure. But if you play you still might save your game.
>
>Please let us be serious here. ;)
>
>Rolf Tueschen
>

Actually I was being serious _and_ consistent.  Just because Kasparov had
some tangible advantage in a game, does not mean he was _winning_.  IE a
dangerous-looking attack is not winning until someone finds a forced winning
line.

That hasn't happened in game two or game three yet, only in game one.

>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>> Of course Kasparov doesn't want to
>>>appear as the sucker who missed another half point. Exactly you always wrote
>>>that he can't be believed if he's talking. I would say that this is just such a
>>>case. Even after f4 and then White h3, that is what Kasparov meant, Black is ok!
>>>Agreed it's not the same story as the draw in the second in 1997.
>>>
>>>Rolf Tueschen
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>I was watching the game in real-time, and I can certainly say that no program
>>>>watching the game saw any big advantage for black after f4.  Black might have
>>>>been a bit "better".  But "better" != "winning".
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>So this is the answer how David could still beat Goliath. Big super powers have
>>>>>>>>>>to control a huge traffic of their own while little David must only concentrate
>>>>>>>>>>on the strategically weakest spaces and entities of the enemy. Perhaps we have
>>>>>>>>>>seen the birth of a new chess pattern. After the famous Nf8 position that often
>>>>>>>>>>can defend the whole Kingside for Black we have now the Nh6 position. This is
>>>>>>>>>>chess of the third thousand. It is worth more than three times Las Vegas.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Rolf Tueschen



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