Author: Uri Blass
Date: 02:18:56 02/06/03
Go up one level in this thread
On February 06, 2003 at 04:59:26, Graham Laight wrote: >I have to admit, I tended towards the neutral in terms of how good PCs were >against DB. I had a feeling that Bob might be correct - but the PC apologists, >led by Amir, put what looked like a an overwhelming amount of evidence into the >debate. > >Now, the truth is on the table for all to see. > >For all those years, Amir was arguing that DB was no better than PCs, and Bob >Hyatt argued the reverse position. > >Of the 5 games played so far, DJ has won one. Therefore, there is a 1 in 5 >chance that DJ will win tomorrow. If DJ does win, it will merely achieve the >same result that DB achieved 6 years ago. There is a 4 in 5 probability that it >won't - and that after 6 years of catching up time, DJ will actually achieve a >WORSE result than DB achieved. > >Remember - if IBM had continued to develop DB, then, under Moore's law, it would >be doing a continuous 2 billion nodes per second today (peaking at close to 10 >billion nodes per second). > >The argument is now closed. Amir has been proven wrong. > >I hope Amir is going to do the gentlemanly thing and apologise for all the years >he has been misleading us in an insistant and indignant manner. > >-g I do not see how you can prove that Amir was wrong if Junior does not win. There are simple not enough games to prove something based only on the results. Your 1/5 chance is also not convincing because kasparov play the last game with black. Junior drew all the games with White so you can say that there is 100% chance that it is going to be a draw by this wrong logic. Uri
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