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Subject: Re: Rebel12 BETA5 vs. Fritz8.0.0.5 2-0 !

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 08:08:45 02/12/03

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On February 12, 2003 at 10:45:32, Thorsten Czub wrote:

>On February 12, 2003 at 09:30:17, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>1)The machine is broken
>
>the problem is URI, that i have 5 machines and e.g. playing style
>BETA6 on ANOTHER machine has 5:1. Playing style BETA4 on another machine
>has 11:6.
>
>BETA5 so far (looked on the screen in this moment) has 14.5-0.5 14/1/0 (15)
>96.7%.

very good result.

>
>
>
>>2)There is a big improvement and my guess is to expect more than 65% in more
>>games(Note that I do not expect more than 90% because I believe that part of it
>>has to be some luck).
>>
>>Thorsten found that 1 is false so I guess that 2 is correct.
>
>if ONE machine would be broken, the result of BETA4 and BETA6 would not that
>"close" to the good results of BETA5.
>
>Another tester (so not only different machine but also different person :-))
>told me about having
>
>Rebel.eng versus Beta7   3,5 zu 10,5  20 min
>blitz this morning.

More than 65% but not more than 90% based on these games.
This is my guess.

I will be surprised if it continue to score more than 90% in a long match but I
will be also surprised if it scores less than 65%.

I agree that based on the data it does not make sense to assume that it is
inside the reasonable statistical error but I also find it hard to believe that
the difference is the same as your results suggest.

I guess that part of the data has to be some luck.

Uri



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