Author: GuyHaworth
Date: 17:52:09 02/15/03
Go up one level in this thread
Rob Hyatt's 1 + (N-1)*0.7 formula suggests that 4x 1.9GHz ~ 5.89GHz, say 6.0GHz I believe that an extra ply of search requires 3x the power. Ernst Heinz' self-play stats suggest that 1 ply is worth about 50 ELO at this level. Therefore, DJ's TPR of 2847 'maps' to 2797 on 2GHz and 2747 on 0.67GHz. Thus, 2767 on 1.2GHz does not seem unreasonable in this context. As Uri points out, there would be quite a wide variance to DJ's ELO expectation, based on only 6 games. So it's always worth remembering that we are dealing in means of 'expected ELO' distributions. So, you might conclude that the probability of DJ's 2768 is x% ... but 'x' might be less than 50. g
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